Cook The Books
Categories: Accounting, Banking
Ahh those Hollywood Accountants. They just make up numbers to mess with poor, naive, innocent little actors and actresses…
Brad Pitiful is making a movie about an alien who comes to earth and gets elected president. Brad gets 10 percent of the movie’s profits as compensation. The flick is a blockbuster, uh...monster hit, doing 200 million at the box office and another 100 million in licensing revenues from Netflix, the networks, YouTube, and the like. Brad has his eye on a shiny new G6 jet, and is all set to buy one when the studio says, "uh, sorry...no profits."
"Um...how can this be?" he wonders.
The studio accountant, Lucky Jim, does the math.
Well, the 200 million was just box office sales. The theaters keep half the money, so that’s 100 million for Brad. Same deal with the after-market 100 million...50 million for Brad.
And he says, “But that’s 150 million. Don’t I get 15 million of it?”
Uh...no. Small thing called production cost. The studio needed to actually make and then market your movie. It cost 80 million to shoot and 30 million to market.
Brad sighs, thinking about a much smaller plane. “Well then, ok...that’s 150 million with 110 million in expenses...so the movie made 40 million, and I get 6 million, right?”
Uh...not so fast. That 80 million wasn’t spent the day before the movie rolled out into theaters. It was spent years beforehand. And renting money costs…money. So the studio had to use its credit, i.e. rent money from banks and partners to fund the movie’s production. It had borrowed 80 million bucks for 5 years, in fact, and then another 30 million for 2 years to market it. Now, this is extremely risky capital. If the movie had bombed, then the banks might have lost everything.
So if you were the bank, would you charge just 3 percent for that extremely risky capital? No way. And the studio could have rightly told the producer to go fund it elsewhere...get whatever interest rate on the money she could find, and the studio would match it, and surprise surprise...there were no takers. Not a single lender was willing to take on such enormous risk, even at a 20% interest rate. So the studio "generously" loans the production money at 15% interest.
15% on 80 million for 5 years? That's 12 million of interest per year for 5 years, or 60 million total. And that 15% was a gift. The market price was more like 20%. Then 15% on the 30 million for two years to market it? Add another 9 million in interest costs.
So what happened here? The interest charges ate up all the profits. Yes, the film had operating profit, ignoring interest costs, of 40 million bucks. But it had to rent the money to go make the film. The rental cost or interest cost of the money was 60 million for the production and 9 million for marketing.
Oh, and there’s this other little thing called a distribution fee that studios take in return for pushing the film into the difficult-to-deal-with theater owners. And usually that’s 30% off the top. But those are details.
So...were the books cooked here? No. If making movies was such an easy, profitable business, there would be legions of venture capitalists throwing money at the business the way there are in Silicon Valley with computer software engineers.
Unfortunately, Hollywood’s heyday was a half-century ago, and economically, it’s dying. The studio (and banks behind it) have to charge a very high interest rate to accommodate for the sad fact that most movies don’t make back the money invested in them. Most movies lose money. So the one-in-ten that actually makes money has to pay for all the rest.
If the studio only charged 3% interest, it would work out great for Brad Pitiful and his profit sharing story. In a world where the movie made 40 million in revenue and had only 10 million in interest costs with 30 million of profit, Brad would have gotten 15% of 30 million, or 4.5 million in bonus dough.
But the books aren’t being cooked here. They are just being zapped...by interest costs.
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Finance allah shmoop we'll have new Some accountants cook the
books Ah those hollywood accountants You know they just make
up numbers to mess with poor naive innocent little actors
and actresses Brad pitiful is making a movie about an
alien who comes to earth and gets elected president brad
gets fifteen percent of the movie's profits as compensation Well
the flick is a block but a a monster hit
doing two hundred million box the box office another one
hundred million in licensing revenues from netflix the network's youtube
and like well brad has his eye on a shiny
new g six jet and has all said to buy
one when the studio says sorry no profits Well how
can this be He wonders the studio accountant lucky jim
here does the math Well the two hundred million dollars
was just box office sales and the theaters keep half
the money So that's one hundred million bucks to us
Same deal with the aftermarket hundred million So only fifty
million came to us Brad says don't i get fifteen
million of that new small thing called production costs while
we needed toe actually make and then market your movie
Well the movie cost eighty million dollars a shoot And
then we spent thirty million dollars to market it Well
brad sighs thinking about a much smaller plane and says
well then okay that's one hundred fifty million to you
and one hundred ten million in expenses So we made
forty million dollars and i get six million write Well
here comes the book cooking paradigm that eighty million dollars
wasn't spent the day before the movie rolled out into
theaters It was spent years beforehand and renting money costs
money so the studio had to use its credit I
even rent money from banks and partners to fund the
movie's production Well the studio borrowed eighty million bucks for
five years in fact and then another thirty million for
two years The market it now this is extremely risky
capital And if this movie had bombed then the banks
might have lost everything So if you were the bank
would you charge just three percent for that extremely risky
capital You have no way So the studio could have
rightly told the producer tio go fund himself you know
to fund the movie elsewhere and get whatever interest rate
on the money he could find and the studio would
match it And surprise surprise Other than in somalia there
were no takers Not a single lender was willing to
take on such enormous risk even at a twenty percent
interest rate So the studio generously loans the production money
at fifteen percent interest and here's the math fifteen percent
on eighty million dollars for five years That's twelve million
of interest per year for five years or so sixty
million dollars in total And that fifteen percent interest rate
was a gift The real market price was more like
twenty percent Well then fifteen percent on the thirty million
for two years to market it Yeah at another nine
million dollars of interest costs So what happened here Well
the interest charges ate up all the profits Yes the
film had operating profit ignoring interest costs over forty million
dollars But it had to rent the money to go
make the film the rental cost or the interest costs
of the money with sixty million dollars for the production
and nine million for the marketing Oh and there's this
other little thing called a distribution fee that studios taken
Return for pushing the film into the difficult to deal
with theater owners and usually that's thirty percent off the
top but those are details So were the books cooked
here No not at all If making movies was such
an easy profitable business well there would be legions of
venture capitalists throwing money at the business the way there
are in silicon valley with computer software engineers Unfortunately hollywood's
heyday was a half century ago and economically hollywood is
dying The studio and the banks behind it have to
charge a very high interest rate to accommodate for the
sad fact that most movies don't make back the money
invested in them Most movies lose money so the one
in ten movies that actually make money have to be
Hey for all the rest of the studio only charged
three percent interest for years I work out great for
brad pitiful in his profit sharing story In a world
where the movie made forty million dollars in revenue and
had only ten million in interest costs With then thirty
million of you know pretax profit well then brad would
have gotten fifteen percent of thirty million or four point
Five million in bonus dough But that's not the way
things work The books aren't being cooked here People They're
just being zapped by interest costs It's almost enough to 00:04:33.104 --> [endTime] make you lose your