Inherent Risk

  

Categories: Trading

The phrase “inherent risk” basically translates to, “FYI, there might be something wrong here.” It doesn’t mean there is something wrong, but it means there might be. And when we say “wrong,” we don’t necessarily mean that someone did something intentionally bad...we might just mean that there are possible mistakes in our information, or that we’re making decisions based on things we aren’t certain about.

Two quick examples:

On the one hand, as mentioned, “inherent risk” might refer to the probability that mistakes were made calculating and/or reporting complex business transactions. There are a ton of regulations in certain industries, especially those related to finance, and there’s always a chance that a small step or piece of the puzzle was overlooked when a company’s information was compiled or reported. When those businesses or business processes are audited, it’s the auditor’s responsibility to specifically look for and assess inherent risk, and possibly offer solutions to reduce its likelihood or mitigate its effects.

On the other hand, “inherent risk” can simply mean that we’re making predictions based on things that are...unknowable. If our traveling circus company is about to expand operations into a new country, we can release all sorts of studies and estimates and financial statements showing how awesome and profitable this venture might be, but we can’t know 100% how it’s going to turn out until we do it. In other words, our venture has some inherent risk: things might happen that cause financial loss, but we don’t know for sure what those things might be, or how much financial loss they might entail.

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Finance: What is market risk?5 Views

00:00

Finance Allah shmoop what is market risk All right There

00:08

are a lot of risks when you invest money Two

00:10

of the most common categories are unsystematic risk And yes

00:13

of course systematic risk Also known as market risk Well

00:17

unsystematic risk refers to risks linked to a specific stock

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or security So you buy shares in your dad's publicly

00:24

traded ice cream company and the company goes bankrupt Who

00:27

knew pork rind ice cream would prove so unpopular Who

00:30

knew well that's unsystematic risk You made a bad investment

00:34

and you paid for it by losing everything you invested

00:38

un systematically Well that's individual stock risk or in systematic

00:42

risk AII bad brain bad return What not all investments

00:45

do well In fact many of them do poorly even

00:47

for the best of investors So most professionals diversify their

00:50

eggs such that not all of them are invested in

00:53

one stock or one basket So that revolves around unsystematic

00:57

risk That is risk You can actually do something about

01:00

and improve your odds of being successful like by being

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a good smart investor But then there's market risk which

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just exists as a natural part of the risk world

01:10

For illustrative purposes You could choose to not take any

01:13

road risk Like when you drive on the roads Your

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odds of being hit by some idiot texting his girlfriend

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and not looking at the double yellow line are not

01:21

one in a good Gillian right You also have a

01:23

risk of a tire blowout or a tree falling on

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you or skidding into a mailbox on that hill with

01:28

the gravel in the oil slick from the construction people

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right Those are all quote market risks unquote of driving

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So why do it Why drive Why not just stay

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home Never leave the house get Amazon and door dash

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and ups to take care of all of your needs

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and never suffer the market risk of dying on the

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road Well for some people this probably is a good

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idea Well the same allegory lives in the stock market

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When you invest in stocks odds are extremely high that

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at some period while their value will go down maybe

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a lot You can't head yourself against things like terrorist

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attacks and natural disasters political upheaval and zombie apocalypses or

02:06

apocalypse side They say The zombie There's no real way

02:09

to protect yourself against market risk It's just systematic It's

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part of the system Got it So there's no way

02:15

to deal with market risk other than for one thing

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time Historically the stock market goes up over time Check

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out this glorious chart running for one hundred years in

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change for what the market is done without even calculating

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the additional return from dividends distributed along the way Well

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you can see that there has rarely been an extended

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period of time when the market didn't go up and

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or at least distribute enough in dividends Such that in

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each decade while there's been a nicely positive return from

02:42

being invested in the stock market could this suddenly change

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and go the other direction such that we have half

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a century of no growth Sure but that would be

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a big departure from the way our driving has gone

02:53

in the past on the roads But you never know

02:56

There's always the N plus one idiot out there texting

02:59

and driving and you know really not giving a

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